{
  "status": "published",
  "receivedOn": "2026-10-24",
  "source": "Seller-pricing aggregate statistics supplied by Lucas Beard in the article brief. Underlying export and methodology were not supplied with this request; not independently audited.",
  "geography": "San Francisco",
  "propertyType": "Single-family houses",
  "listPriceBasis": "Original list price",
  "cutoff": null,
  "cutoffNote": "2026 closings as supplied. October is partial-month; exact extraction cutoff, monthly counts, neighborhood boundaries and most subgroup counts were not provided. Do not assume the October 22 cutoff of the separate earlier workbook.",
  "monthly": [
    {
      "period": "2025-09",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 113,
      "soldAboveOriginalListPct": 80
    },
    {
      "period": "2026-09",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 132,
      "soldAboveOriginalListPct": 94,
      "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 3,
      "medianSalePrice": 2130000
    },
    {
      "period": "2026-10-partial",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 133,
      "medianSalePrice": 2460000
    }
  ],
  "daysOnMarket2026": {
    "reportedMonthlyMedianRange": [
      11,
      13
    ],
    "groups": [
      {
        "days": "0–7",
        "sales": 382,
        "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 128.6,
        "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 2
      },
      {
        "days": "8–14",
        "sales": 781,
        "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 132.6,
        "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 2
      },
      {
        "days": "15–30",
        "sales": 247,
        "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 114.1,
        "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 13
      },
      {
        "days": "31–60",
        "sales": 87,
        "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 101.9,
        "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 39
      },
      {
        "days": "61+",
        "sales": 79,
        "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 92.7,
        "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 71
      }
    ]
  },
  "salePriceBands2026": [
    {
      "band": "Under $1 million",
      "description": "Overbids mostly disappear; precise ratio and count not supplied"
    },
    {
      "band": "$1.5 million–$3 million",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 132,
      "soldAboveOriginalListPct": 94
    },
    {
      "band": "Above $3 million",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 124
    }
  ],
  "neighborhoods2026": [
    {
      "name": "Sunset",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 138
    },
    {
      "name": "Noe Valley",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 130
    },
    {
      "name": "Bernal Heights",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 129
    },
    {
      "name": "Outer Mission",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 129
    },
    {
      "name": "Pacific Heights",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 107,
      "soldAboveOriginalListPct": 69
    },
    {
      "name": "Bayview",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 111,
      "soldAboveOriginalListPct": 71
    }
  ],
  "seasonalClosingCohorts": [
    {
      "period": "2025-11",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 115,
      "note": "Supplied summary says this exceeded each April–August 2025 monthly median; those exact monthly values were not supplied."
    },
    {
      "period": "2025-12",
      "medianSaleToOriginalListPct": 108,
      "soldBelowOriginalListPct": 30
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Closed sales only: withdrawn, expired, unsold and active listings excluded.",
    "Association between days on market and result does not identify a causal effect of price or prove underpricing failed.",
    "Over-asking ratios depend on the chosen original asking price and do not measure appreciation or sale above market value.",
    "Sale-price bands are based on realized sale prices, not ex ante list-price budgets.",
    "Closing month is not listing month; one seasonal comparison cannot predict a benefit to waiting for spring.",
    "Missing subgroup counts prevent precision or significance claims."
  ],
  "publishedOn": "2026-10-24"
}
