
- House median: October 1–23
- $2.455M
- Condo median: October 1–23
- $1.43M
- Houses sold above asking
- 93%
Exact supplied median $2,455,278; partial month
Partial-month closings; not an appraisal
October 1–23, 2026; asking-price basis unspecified
Data: TurboHome monthly medians: January 2025–September 2026 complete months; October 1–23, 2026 partial. Public guidance checked October 26, 2026.
A substantial equity package can make a San Francisco home look affordable on paper. The harder question is whether that wealth can become documented cash by closing, while leaving enough income and reserves to own the home comfortably. Vested RSUs, tender-offer proceeds, and pre-IPO shares each answer that question differently.
Start with three separate numbers: cash available after taxes and transaction costs; income a mortgage underwriter will accept; and reserves that remain after closing. A company valuation or grant-dashboard balance is not a substitute for any of them.
Why this matters in San Francisco now
TurboHome figures supplied for this guide put the house median at $2,455,278 for closings from October 1–23, 2026, with 93% selling above asking. Condos had a $1,430,000 median and 72% above asking. The house median is about 32% higher than the $1,863,000 full-October 2025 median; condos are about 19% above $1,198,000. These compare a partial month with a full month and different sale mixes. They are not matched-period appreciation rates. [1]
Redfin’s July 2026 analysis estimated roughly $198 billion in combined post-tax employee equity at OpenAI and Anthropic under hypothetical IPO assumptions. That was modeled potential purchasing power across a metro housing market, not cash already spent buying San Francisco homes. Our supplied closing data contains no employer or funding-source information, so it cannot isolate an AI-wealth effect. [2]
[1] Owner-supplied TurboHome series; USD. Different homes close each month. Toggle property type or choose Data for exact figures. This is a median-price series, not a repeat-sales index.
[1] Completed months only. October 1–23 is excluded from these trend lines and shown separately below. Underlying sales counts were not supplied.
| Property type | Oct 2025 full-month median | Oct 1–23, 2026 median | Illustrative 20% down | Share above asking, Oct 1–23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houses | $1,863,000 | $2,455,278 | $491,056 | 93% |
| Condos | $1,198,000 | $1,430,000 | $286,000 | 72% |
[1] Twenty percent is an illustration, not a universal lending requirement. House down payment rounded to the nearest dollar. Add closing costs, tax reserves and post-closing liquidity. The brief does not specify original versus final asking price.
1. Where your money really is: RSUs, options, and private shares
| What you hold | What it means for a purchase |
|---|---|
| Unvested RSUs | A conditional compensation promise. Do not budget an unsettled award as cash already available. |
| Vested, distributed public shares | Potentially saleable, subject to trading restrictions and settlement. Budget the cash actually received. |
| Stock options | A right to purchase shares at an exercise price. Exercise costs, tax treatment and sale restrictions can consume the apparent value. |
| Private-company shares | An ownership interest without assured liquidity. A financing-round valuation does not guarantee an approved buyer or sale price. |
| Settled tender-offer cash | Cash from an approved sale, with taxes, fees and documentation still to address. |
General planning distinctions. Award agreements, company policies and transaction terms control. Private securities can be illiquid and subject to transfer restrictions. [3, 4, 5]
For buying a house with stock options in San Francisco, calculate the exercise bill before discussing your housing budget. A right to buy shares worth $800,000 for $300,000 is not $800,000 of spendable cash. The spread is $500,000 before taxes, fees and any limits on selling. An option exercise can also create exposure without creating liquidity.
2. Turning equity into a down payment: sales, tender offers, and taxes
Using RSUs for a down payment generally means selling shares after they have vested and been delivered, then tracing the proceeds into the account used to close. Separate the grant, vesting, delivery, sale, settlement and wire dates. Company trading windows and transfer restrictions can matter as much as the intended closing date.
For a stock-settled RSU, federal income recognition generally occurs when stock is transferred; in ordinary public-company plans that often coincides with vesting. Private-company awards may have different settlement conditions. IRS guidance distinguishes RSUs from restricted stock. A later share sale can generate capital gain or loss relative to the correct tax basis. Do not budget gross proceeds without reviewing withholding, basis and remaining tax liability with your tax adviser. [4, 6]
Options need a separate tax review. The IRS explains that ISO exercise can trigger alternative minimum tax, even without a sale. Nonstatutory options generally have compensation consequences at exercise when their value was not readily determinable at grant. Exercise-and-hold is therefore not a tax-free substitute for cash planning. Federal and California outcomes depend on your facts. [5]
Tender offer cash for a down payment becomes useful when eligibility, permitted shares, price, approvals, settlement and net proceeds are documented. Before relying on an announced offer, confirm those terms and whether your sale could be reduced or delayed. Private shares may not be freely transferable; the SEC explains that secondary resales need an available registration exemption or registration. [3]
- Before touring seriously: assemble award agreements, vesting schedules, share statements, trading restrictions and the expected net-liquidity timeline.
- Before offering: have the lender approve the source of funds and qualifying income, and have your tax adviser review the tax reserve.
- Before removing financing protections: verify remaining underwriting conditions and whether funding depends on a future sale or tender settlement.
- Before closing: allow time for settlement, transfers and verification. Confirm escrow wire instructions using a trusted phone number.

3. Securities-backed loans: access to cash with a second risk
A securities-backed line of credit, sometimes called a pledged-asset line, lends against eligible investments without an immediate sale. It is separate from a mortgage and is still debt. Standard brokerage products and specialist private-share loans are different arrangements: do not assume pre-IPO stock qualifies as collateral. Obtain written terms covering eligible assets, valuation haircuts and issuer restrictions.
FINRA warns that falling collateral can trigger a demand for more assets or repayment, often within two or three days. A lender can liquidate securities, change collateral eligibility or call a demand loan. Variable rates and concentrated holdings can compound the risk; forced sales may also create taxes. Non-purpose lines generally cannot fund securities purchases or trading. [7]
Original illustration: $1 million starting eligible collateral, a constant 50% maximum advance assumption, and $400,000 borrowed. At a 40% portfolio decline, supported debt falls to $300,000, leaving a $100,000 shortfall. Excludes interest, fees and lender changes; not a quote or universal call formula.
Ask what happens if your shares fall while your home also needs a major repair or your employment changes. A repayment plan depending entirely on a future IPO combines several risks in the same company. Stress-test an alternative source of repayment and a longer-than-expected holding period.
Mortgage treatment is a separate question. Fannie Mae allows certain asset-secured borrowed funds for down payment, closing costs and reserves, with documentation. Its policy has a financial-asset-backed debt exception and reduces reserves when the same pledged asset is counted. Do not infer that a particular jumbo lender will treat your loan identically; disclose it and obtain that lender’s calculation. [8]
4. How mortgage lenders count RSU and bonus income
Down-payment assets and qualifying income are separate underwriting tests. Fannie Mae’s October 7, 2026 RSU policy requires vested, unrestricted distributions and evidence of publicly traded stock. Time-based awards require at least 12 months with the current employer; performance-based awards generally call for two years, with qualifying shorter histories of at least 12 months. Restricted-stock sign-on bonuses are ineligible. [9]
For share-paid income, the guide uses the 200-day average share price multiplied by pre-tax vested shares distributed over 24 months, divided by 24. A 12–24 month history can use actual months. One-time time-based awards also need three years of expected vesting. Documentation includes vesting records, earnings and distribution evidence. These are program rules, not a universal jumbo-loan standard. [9]
For cash bonus income, Fannie Mae recommends two years of history but permits at least 12 months with compensating positive factors. The lender reviews the trend; declining income needs to have stabilized. A recent bonus or tender payment should not simply be annualized as recurring salary. Ask for a written breakdown of base pay, eligible variable pay and excluded equity. [10]
5. Offering stock in the deal: why sellers usually want cash
A seller planning a replacement purchase or paying off a mortgage needs usable proceeds on a known date. Private shares introduce valuation, transferability, concentration and settlement questions. They can also require securities counsel and specialized transaction work. The SEC’s private-secondary-market guidance explains why these interests cannot be treated like freely transferable cash. [3]
A willing seller does not eliminate issuer approvals or securities requirements. If stock consideration is proposed, involve real estate and securities counsel, the issuer, the lender if any, and escrow before promising a structure. For a conventional home search, our preferred starting point is documented cash proceeds or approved financing. This is an execution judgment, not a claim that the supplied sales data measures how often sellers accept stock.
6. Not an AI buyer? How to compete with cash offers in SF
Competing with cash buyers in San Francisco starts with making your own offer credible, rather than imitating someone else’s balance sheet. A financed buyer can reduce uncertainty through preparation while keeping a price limit and appropriate protections.
- Get substantive underwriting review before the offer when available. Clarify the remaining appraisal, property, insurance and financing conditions.
- Have your agent confirm the seller’s preferred closing date and possession terms; flexibility can help without increasing price.
- Review disclosures and inspections early. Choose contingencies deliberately rather than waiving them to match a cash headline.
- Compare actual properties and ownership costs. Citywide overbidding shares do not mean every listing has the same buyer pool.
- Consider tradeoffs in condition, layout or location you can comfortably accept. Do not assume a condo is an equivalent substitute for a house.
- Set a maximum total commitment: purchase price, repairs, taxes, insurance, HOA dues where relevant, financing and retained reserves.
A practical checklist for your first financing conversation
- What equity is vested, distributed, saleable or eligible for a specific tender?
- What after-tax cash can reach escrow, and on what verified date?
- Which documents trace each transfer, sale and borrowing?
- What income will the chosen lender actually accept?
- What cash remains for reserves, a tax true-up and property work?
- If shares fall or liquidity is delayed, can we still close and own the home without a forced sale?
Common questions
Can I use private-company stock as my down payment?
A mortgage down payment needs an acceptable, documented funding source. Private shares are not automatically cash. An approved sale or separately approved borrowing may create funds; confirm the company restrictions, lender rules, tax budget and settlement date before offering.
Can I buy now and refinance after an IPO?
You can model that possibility, but future liquidity, interest rates and refinance approval are uncertain. The purchase should remain workable if the IPO or refinancing does not happen on your preferred schedule.
Does a cash offer mean the buyer has no debt?
No. A buyer may obtain cash through separate borrowing. The purchase contract and proof of funds must accurately reflect the actual funding plan and any dependencies.
The supplied monthly median-price series
| Closing month | Houses | Condos |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | $1,422,500 | $932,500 |
| 2025-02 | $1,600,860 | $1,082,000 |
| 2025-03 | $1,763,000 | $1,047,500 |
| 2025-04 | $1,750,000 | $1,162,500 |
| 2025-05 | $1,818,500 | $1,293,000 |
| 2025-06 | $1,700,000 | $1,180,000 |
| 2025-07 | $1,641,750 | $1,100,000 |
| 2025-08 | $1,500,000 | $1,025,000 |
| 2025-09 | $1,750,500 | $1,100,000 |
| 2025-10 | $1,863,000 | $1,198,000 |
| 2025-11 | $1,800,000 | $1,137,500 |
| 2025-12 | $1,700,000 | $1,050,000 |
| 2026-01 | $1,590,000 | $999,000 |
| 2026-02 | $1,900,000 | $1,190,000 |
| 2026-03 | $2,130,000 | $1,324,000 |
| 2026-04 | $2,115,000 | $1,382,500 |
| 2026-05 | $2,200,000 | $1,327,500 |
| 2026-06 | $2,128,000 | $1,192,500 |
| 2026-07 | $2,127,500 | $1,164,000 |
| 2026-08 | $1,855,000 | $1,210,000 |
| 2026-09 | $2,140,000 | $1,325,000 |
| 2026-10 (1–23 only) | $2,455,278 | $1,430,000 |
[1] Supplied TurboHome series. October 2026 is partial; earlier months are represented as full months. No transaction counts or matched-property observations were supplied.
Methodology
[1] refers to the TurboHome figures supplied by Lucas Beard on October 26, 2026, preserved in the linked source dataset. The 44 price observations cover two property types and 22 closing months. October 2026 ends October 23; October 2025 is a full month. Changes of 31.79% for houses and 19.37% for condos are descriptive comparisons of those different windows, not repeat-sales appreciation. No sales counts, buyer identities or financing sources were supplied. Asking-price basis is unspecified. This new series reports September houses at $2.14 million; the separate prior pricing brief reported $2.13 million. We preserve this series without revising the other article or claiming the difference is reconciled. Redfin’s hypothetical metro equity model is not a city closing-price dataset. Illustrative down payments equal price × 20%; tax and cost budgets are assumptions. Collateral stress uses max supported debt = $1 million × (1 − decline) × 50%, with shortfall max(0, $400,000 − supported debt). No private-stock product, actual loan rate, tax rate or future liquidity event is promised. Published program rules can change and lenders can apply additional requirements.
Sources
- [1] TurboHome monthly median-price series and October 1–23 snapshot · supplied October 26, 2026 ↗
- [2] Redfin · AI employee equity analysis, July 9, updated July 13, 2026 ↗
- [3] SEC · Private Secondary Markets ↗
- [4] IRS · Timing of taxation: restricted stock and RSUs, Information Letter 2024-0010 ↗
- [5] IRS · Topic 427, Stock options ↗
- [6] IRS · Publication 525 (2025), Taxable and Nontaxable Income ↗
- [7] FINRA · Securities-Backed Lines of Credit Explained ↗
- [8] Fannie Mae · B3-4.3-15, Borrowed Funds Secured by an Asset ↗
- [9] Fannie Mae · B3-3.3-07, RSU income; policy dated October 7, 2026 ↗
- [10] Fannie Mae · B3-3.3-02, Bonus, Commission, Overtime, and Tip Income ↗
- Related reading · Buying in San Francisco ↗
- Related reading · Rent versus buy a San Francisco condo ↗
- Related reading · How sellers price SF houses ↗
- Neighborhood context · Hayes Valley market report (different geography and windows) ↗