- Median sale price
- $1,414,604
- Median price / sq ft
- ≈ $1,210
- Median days on market
- 14 days
- Sale to list price
- 107.5%
+0.3% year over year
-13.4% year over year
-24 days year over year
+8.7 points year over year
Redfin Hayes Valley · rolling three months ending September 2026. Rounded source values stay rounded. View source ↗
Competition is running hot.
Redfin Compete Score™ measures competition, not expected investment returns.
Source window: trailing 9 months. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 9:51 AM PDT.
The trend behind the headline.
Rolling three-month periods. Dashed segments compare endpoints across unobserved months, not a measured monthly path. Approximate prior-year points are derived from Redfin’s rounded year-over-year change.
| Period ending | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| September 2025 | ≈ 1,397 | Derived from YoY change |
| September 2026 | 1,210 | Redfin reported (rounded) |
Snapshot history begins with September 2026 and grows with verified updates. Missing observations are never filled with invented values. A neighborhood median does not track the same homes over time.
57% of sales were above list in the source snapshot. Asking prices reflect a listing strategy, so a premium to list is not automatically a premium to fair value.
San Francisco Real Estate Company Perspective
Our analytical view · Not a valuation or forecast
Local context checked . Market figures use the report period above. Local sources do not measure an amenity’s effect on prices or rents.
Hayes Street convenience comes with a frontage decision.
Local evidence: SFMTA identifies Hayes Street as the neighborhood’s commercial core and documents delivery and passenger-loading demand around Hayes and Octavia. Price per square foot is down 13.4% year over year.
Our view: We would compare a home facing the retail corridor with a similar unit on an interior block before interpreting that price movement. Visit during deliveries and dinner service, then check bedroom orientation and window performance. Sellers should support a corridor premium with comparable closed sales; investors should use achieved rents rather than assume retail proximity commands one.
Sources: SFMTA Hayes Valley curb plan ↗ · Redfin neighborhood snapshot ↗
Budget for the Hayes Valley curb changes before paying for parking.
Local evidence: SFMTA’s current update targets early 2027 for the Pay or Permit expansion; test signs do not change existing rules. Its permit guidance limits Area HV households to two annual permits, subject to the stated exceptions.
Our view: For a car-dependent buyer, we would verify the address’s permit eligibility, current signs, and deeded or leased garage rights before comparing prices. Model garage dues or rental costs separately from HOA dues. The planned expansion is a future operating change, not evidence that parking is easier today or that a home’s value will rise.
Sources: SFMTA parking expansion update ↗ · SFMTA residential parking rules ↗
Civic Center access should earn its place in the budget.
Local evidence: BART lists Civic Center/UN Plaza at 1150 Market Street, near City Hall and the performing-arts venues, and confirms that the station has no parking. The snapshot reports 14 median days on market. The sale-to-list ratio is 107.5%.
Our view: Hayes Valley offers a concrete transit connection to test against the buyer’s actual workplace, including civic employment nearby. Walk from the specific home to the station entrance and test the full trip at work hours. We would compare the total cost of a home without parking against one with a garage, then set a bidding ceiling before moving quickly. Employer access alone does not establish rental demand or a rent premium.
Sources: BART Civic Center station ↗ · Redfin neighborhood snapshot ↗
Closed sales and modeled values tell different stories.
- Zillow Hayes Valley typical home value (ZHVI)
- $1,139,444
+13% year over year
Zillow data through September 2026. Its modeled value index differs from a median of homes that sold. Neighborhood boundaries, property coverage, and methods also differ. We do not average the two sources or treat their difference as a discount.
Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 9:51 AM PDT · Zillow source ↗
Get a feel for Hayes Valley.
Use the map to explore the streets, then follow the official links for parks, dining, and drinks in and around the neighborhood.
Patricia’s Green ↗
Octavia Boulevard & Fell Street
A neighborhood park at the Hayes and Octavia corridor. See the city’s page for park information.
Absinthe Brasserie & Bar ↗
398 Hayes Street
French brasserie dining and cocktails at Hayes and Gough. Explore the current menu on its website.
Anina ↗
482 Hayes Street
A Hayes Street cocktail bar with a patio. Check the venue’s current offerings before visiting.
Local links checked . Check the linked businesses and park pages for current details.
San Francisco weather context.
Put Hayes Valley visits in context with city rainfall and regional sky conditions. Check the actual home in morning and afternoon light.
Rainfall and temperatures come from NOAA’s San Francisco Downtown station. Fog and sky conditions come from SFO and are regional context only. Neither station measures the featured neighborhood’s block-by-block microclimate; airport fog days are not neighborhood fog days.
City rainfall and temperature.
San Francisco Downtown station ↗ · City station near Mission Dolores.
- SF Downtown precipitation
- 0.03inches
- SF Downtown wet days
- 1day
NOAA station USW00023272
At least 0.01 inches of precipitation
Average daily high 70.1°F · Average daily low 57.5°F
Chart scale: 0 to 0.10 inches. Trace amounts are recorded separately and do not become zero-rain claims.
View daily weather data +
| Station date | Precipitation (inches) | High (°F) | Low (°F) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 | 69 | 61 | |
| 0.00 | 70 | 61 | |
| 0.03 | 72 | 60 | |
| 0.00 | 68 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 71 | 56 | |
| 0.00 | 69 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 81 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 85 | 61 | |
| 0.00 | 94 | 65 | |
| 0.00 | 75 | 59 | |
| 0.00 | 66 | 58 | |
| 0.00 | 68 | 59 | |
| 0.00 | 66 | 58 | |
| 0.00 | 71 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 66 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 63 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 70 | 59 | |
| 0.00 | 66 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 66 | 56 | |
| 0.00 | 60 | 55 | |
| 0.00 | 61 | 56 | |
| 0.00 | 63 | 56 | |
| 0.00 | 75 | 56 | |
| 0.00 | 75 | 58 | |
| 0.00 | 67 | 57 | |
| 0.00 | 68 | 56 | |
| 0.00 | 63 | 55 | |
| 0.00 | 69 | 55 | |
| 0.00 | 74 | 54 | |
| 0.00 | 72 | 55 |
City data retrieved · Download NOAA daily records ↗
Regional fog and sky conditions.
Station: San Francisco International Airport (SFO). These counts describe the airport, not the featured neighborhood. Fair weather is the source’s sky category; it does not mean six hours of sunshine or a fog-free day.
- SFO fog days
- 18days
- SFO fair-weather days
- 8days
- SFO partly cloudy days
- 20days
- SFO cloudy days
- 2days
Fog reported at the airport
NWS fair-sky category, not measured sunshine hours
NWS partly cloudy category
NWS cloudy category
Sources, definitions and limits +
- Rainfall and temperature source: NOAA NCEI San Francisco Downtown, USW00023272 ↗, at 37.7705, −122.4269. These are city station readings, not measurements at an individual home. We sum the daily precipitation records and count days with at least 0.01 inches. The precipitation variable includes any liquid-equivalent frozen precipitation.
- Daily values retain NOAA’s station observation dates. An observation day can end at a station’s reporting time; we do not relabel it as a midnight-to-midnight Pacific measurement. Trace precipitation is marked “Trace.” Missing or quality-flagged precipitation rejects a monthly update; incomplete temperatures remain unavailable.
- Fog and sky source: National Weather Service CLMSFO, archived by Iowa Environmental Mesonet ↗. The source’s fog, fair, partly cloudy and cloudy counts are kept as reported. Fog can occur during part of a fair-weather day, so fog is not an additional mutually exclusive sky category. We do not convert fair days to measured sunshine hours or add them to fog counts.
- These are free public weather records. Our summary and chart are independent of NOAA and Iowa State University. No affiliation or endorsement is implied. NOAA usage information ↗ · IEM usage information ↗.
- Weather periods and source timestamps are separate from the rolling Redfin market window. Monthly updates retain the previous verified month if either source is delayed. These stations cannot establish a specific home’s sunlight, fog, moisture condition or investment return.
Sources, timing, and what to watch.
Redfin neighborhood metrics use rolling three-month windows. Adjacent periods overlap. Small samples and the mix of properties sold can move medians sharply. All home types is not a condo-only or multifamily investment series. The competition score uses its own stated window.
Refresh policy: the day after Redfin’s monthly Housing Market Tracker release, once a newer neighborhood period is verified. Source delays retain the previous report. An unavailable release timestamp is left blank; the calendar is not evidence that a neighborhood has updated.
Initial trend comparisons use the reported year-over-year change to derive approximate prior-year endpoints, not a downloaded monthly history. Verified monthly snapshots accumulate over time. Source revisions can change a previously reported figure.
- Redfin Hayes Valley housing market ↗
- Redfin methodology and release calendar ↗
- Download report data (JSON) ↗
- Neighborhood guide ↗
Data provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage. Company commentary is independent. No affiliation or endorsement is implied.