Mission Bay’s median sale price was $1,449,594, up 16.9% year over year, with a 27-day median selling period. Compare the same building, floor and unit line, then budget dues and assessments.
Our interpretation of Redfin’s All Home Types data. The median reflects the mix of sales, not appreciation of the same homes.
Prices and sales activity.
- Median sale price
- $1,449,594
- Median price / sq ft
- ≈ $1,270
- Median days on market
- 27 days
- Sale to list price
- 104.5%
+16.9% year over year
30 sales reported for the calendar month of September 2026. This is separate from the rolling median’s sample.
+16.1% year over year
Year-over-year change unavailable
The source’s year-over-year comparisons conflict; the change is omitted.
+7.2 points year over year
65.4% of sales closed above asking. Asking price reflects a listing strategy.
Redfin Mission Bay · All Home Types · rolling three months ending September 2026. Check the source ↗ · Sales count checked Oct 29, 2026.
Data geography and coverage
This report uses Redfin’s provider-defined Mission Bay area in San Francisco and Zillow’s independently defined geography. All Home Types mixes property and ownership types. The map is approximate orientation, not a statistical boundary. Select comparables for the actual block and ownership type. Redfin’s median days-on-market change conflicts with its narrative, so the year-over-year day change is unavailable. The competition panel uses a separate three-month window and a different marketing-pace measure.
What changed since our last report?
Verified monthly tracking began with September 2026. This is the first recorded period, so there is no previous report period to compare yet.
The next verified period will add changes in price, selling time and sale-to-list ratio here. Year-over-year changes above are a separate comparison.
What this means for your next move.
If you’re buying
Sales averaged above asking, so prepare the financing and disclosure review before choosing an offer. Compare the same building, floor and unit line, then budget dues and assessments.
Test your appraisal-gap cash needs ↗If you’re selling
The 27-day median is a planning reference, not a deadline for your listing. Show tower-level comparables and the total monthly cost, including separate parking. Choose an asking strategy from the property’s comparables rather than assume the neighborhood percentage applies to every home.
Build a property-specific pricing plan ↗Prepare for competition.
Redfin’s separate trailing 3-month competition window. The score is not an investment-return estimate.
Compare prices and market pace.
Bars compare available periods, not a measured monthly path. A prior-year bar marked “calculated” is an approximation derived from the source’s rounded year-over-year change. A line chart appears after three consecutive verified monthly observations.
| Period ending | Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| September 2025 | ≈ 1,094 | Calculated from YoY change |
| September 2026 | 1,270 | Redfin reported (rounded) |
Verified tracking begins with September 2026. Missing months stay unfilled. A transaction median does not track the same homes over time.
The property behind the numbers.
Local context checked . Commentary is our interpretation, not a valuation or forecast.
Test the UCSF connection against the actual workweek.
Local evidence: UCSF identifies the Mission Bay Cancer Center at 1825 Fourth Street; SFMTA publishes the T Third Street route. Neither source measures an individual home’s commute or rental premium.
Our view: Walk from the residential entrance to the actual department or stop, including crossings and elevator access. Compare weekday and evening travel needs. For a rental, use achieved leases for similarly sized homes with comparable building services. The campus is a destination to investigate, not evidence that higher acquisition debt will be covered by rent.
UCSF Cancer Center Mission Bay ↗ · SFMTA T Third Street ↗ · Mission Rock Resort ↗
Building costs and investment considerations
Mission Bay amenities belong beside the reserve study.
Mission Rock Resort provides a waterfront dining destination. Its location does not establish a building’s private amenity rights, parking allocation or HOA obligations.
We would reconcile the monthly dues with what the association funds and what the owner pays separately. Read insurance, reserves, assessments and planned building work before paying for services. Model rent after vacancy, management, dues, taxes, repairs and financing, then test a flat-price exit. Compare the actual garage charge and rights with the cost of owning without parking.
SFMTA residential parking permits ↗ · SF Planning permit research ↗
Zillow context: a different measure of value
Zillow’s Mission Bay typical home value (ZHVI) was $1,205,657, +13.7% year over year, through September 2026. This modeled index differs from a median of homes that sold; geography and coverage can also differ.
Checked Oct 29, 2026 · Zillow source ↗
Get to know Mission Bay.
Use the neighborhood guide for local places, maps, transit resources and weather context, then test the actual block and building.
Explore the Mission Bay neighborhood guide ↗Sources and definitions.
Redfin Mission Bay housing market ↗ · Methodology and release calendar ↗ · Download report data ↗
Reporting periods, checks and limitations
Price and selling metrics use rolling three-month windows. Adjacent periods overlap. Sales counts carry their own explicitly stated period and are not assumed to be the rolling median’s sample. A reported sales count below 20 receives an editorial small-count flag; this is a reading aid, not a statistical confidence threshold.
Refresh policy: check the day after Redfin’s monthly Housing Market Tracker release and publish once a newer neighborhood period is verified. Delays retain the last verified period. A calendar date is not evidence that neighborhood data changed.
Initial comparison bars may include approximate prior-year values calculated from reported year-over-year changes. A line chart requires at least three consecutive verified monthly observations for the selected metric and uses reported points only. Missing months are not filled.
All Home Types mixes ownership and property types. A neighborhood median is not an appraisal, a same-home return or a forecast. Local sources do not establish a measured rent or resale premium. Zillow is an independent modeled index and is never averaged with Redfin’s transaction median.
Data provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage. Company commentary is independent. No affiliation or endorsement is implied.