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SEPTEMBER 2026 · MARKET UPDATE

Outer Richmond.
By the numbers.

What the market is doing. What it means for your next move.

Updated
Redfin data through · All home types

THE MARKET AT A GLANCE
Median sale price
$1,907,465

+20% year over year

Median price / sq ft
≈ $1,180

+38.1% year over year

Median days on market
14 days

Year-over-year change unavailable

Sale to list price
123%

+9.3 points year over year

Redfin Outer Richmond · rolling three months ending September 2026. Rounded source values stay rounded. View source ↗

MARKET HEAT

Competition is running hot.

Redfin Compete Score™ measures competition, not expected investment returns.

Source window: trailing 3 months. Retrieved Oct 27, 2026, 6:26 AM PDT.

95OUT OF 100Higher means more competitive
OUR INTERPRETATION

San Francisco Real Estate Company Perspective

Our analytical view · Not a valuation or forecast

Local context checked . Market figures use the report period above. Local sources do not measure an amenity’s effect on prices or rents.

Outer Richmond’s rising price per foot is a question for the comps.

Local evidence: The Redfin transaction median is up 20% year over year. Price per square foot is up 38.1% year over year. The snapshot reports 14 median days on market. The sale-to-list ratio is 123%. These are All Home Types figures; the competition score has its own window.

Our view: A higher neighborhood figure can reflect both market conditions and the types of homes that sold. Select comparable ownership, legal size, condition and avenue before interpreting it as appreciation for the subject property. We would complete the building review before bidding in a short marketing window. Conflicting source changes in days on market are omitted, so the current pace is not presented as a verified year-over-year change.

Sources: Redfin neighborhood snapshot ↗

Measure the Geary Rapid connection from the actual avenue.

Local evidence: SFMTA lists 38R stops at Geary and 25th, 33rd, 36th, 39th, 42nd and 45th, plus 48th and Point Lobos. The published route connects to Transit Center Bus Plaza. Stop proximity is not a verified door-to-work commute time.

Our view: The official stop list is useful, but stop spacing, crossings and the walk from the building can change the trip substantially. Compare that route with Balboa dining and the Anza library, then test the journeys at the times they will be used. For an investor, underwrite achieved rents on comparable blocks before paying for an assumed rapid-transit or retail-access premium.

Sources: SFMTA 38R Geary Rapid ↗ · SF Public Library Anza Branch ↗

An Outer Richmond investment should work before redevelopment.

Local evidence: San Francisco Public Library lists Anza Branch at 550 37th Avenue. The Laundromat’s official address is 3725 Balboa Street, while Pearl is on California Street. Compare the walks and crossings from the home rather than assigning one neighborhood-wide convenience premium.

Our view: Start with current lawful leases and itemized taxes, insurance, management, maintenance and capital needs. Public permit records can identify questions, but do not establish an entitlement or the condition of the building. Any expansion or conversion should have its own feasibility and cost scenario. We would test the existing asset under conservative income and a flat-price exit before paying for unapproved additional units.

Sources: SF Public Library Anza Branch ↗ · SF Planning: nearby permit activity ↗ · ABAG regional Hazard Viewer ↗

Let’s analyze your property ↗
A SECOND LENS

Closed sales and modeled values tell different stories.

Zillow Outer Richmond typical home value (ZHVI)
$1,752,244

+19.3% year over year

Zillow data through September 2026. Its modeled value index differs from a median of homes that sold. Neighborhood boundaries, property coverage, and methods also differ. We do not average the two sources or treat their difference as a discount.

Retrieved Oct 27, 2026, 6:26 AM PDT · Zillow source ↗

Tour California, Geary and Balboa as separate corridors.

Pearl 6101 on California and The Laundromat on Balboa are different food-and-drink stops. Rochambeau Playground and Anza library provide additional routes to test from the home. Compare crossings, the walk to a rapid stop and the return after dinner. A home nearer one corridor may serve a different routine from a property nearer another, even when the listings use the same neighborhood name.

Geary Rapid access varies by the actual avenue.

SFMTA lists 38R stops at Geary and 25th, 33rd, 36th, 39th, 42nd and 45th, plus 48th and Point Lobos. The published route connects to Transit Center Bus Plaza. Stop proximity is not a verified door-to-work commute time.

Price the house, the flat and the rent roll separately.

An owner-occupied house, a condo or TIC flat, and a tenant-occupied building need different financing and comparable-sales sets. Verify legal area, parking and outdoor rights and check permit records for changes to the original layout. Inspect roof, exterior and building systems and include immediate work in the budget. We would not multiply a neighborhood price per foot by every unit’s area to value a whole income property.

Research the neighborhood from the source.

Use these official resources to check transit, public places and property details. An address or route does not establish a rent or resale premium.

  • SFMTA 38R Geary Rapid ↗

    SFMTA lists 38R stops at Geary and 25th, 33rd, 36th, 39th, 42nd and 45th, plus 48th and Point Lobos. The published route connects to Transit Center Bus Plaza. Stop proximity is not a verified door-to-work commute time.

  • SF Public Library Anza Branch ↗

    San Francisco Public Library lists Anza Branch at 550 37th Avenue. The Laundromat’s official address is 3725 Balboa Street, while Pearl is on California Street. Compare the walks and crossings from the home rather than assigning one neighborhood-wide convenience premium.

  • SF Planning: nearby permit activity ↗

    Check surrounding applications and planning records before budgeting construction effects.

  • ABAG regional Hazard Viewer ↗

    Screen regional hazards; this map cannot replace a professional property investigation.

AROUND THE NEIGHBORHOOD

Get a feel for Outer Richmond.

Use the map to explore the streets, then follow the official links for parks, dining, and drinks in and around the neighborhood.

Orientation map · Approximate area, not a market-data boundary.Open a larger map ↗Interactive map by Google Maps

Local links checked . Check the linked businesses and park pages for current details.

WEATHER & EVERYDAY LIVING

San Francisco weather context.

Put Outer Richmond visits in context with city rainfall and regional sky conditions. Check the actual home in morning and afternoon light.

Rainfall and temperatures come from NOAA’s San Francisco Downtown station. Fog and sky conditions come from SFO and are regional context only. Neither station measures the featured neighborhood’s block-by-block microclimate; airport fog days are not neighborhood fog days.

Complete calendar month: to . Retrieved . Updated .

City rainfall and temperature.

San Francisco Downtown station ↗ · City station near Mission Dolores.

SF Downtown precipitation
0.03inches

NOAA station USW00023272

SF Downtown wet days
1day

At least 0.01 inches of precipitation

Average daily high 70.1°F · Average daily low 57.5°F

City precipitation through the month Inches per station observation day, San Francisco Downtown

Chart scale: 0 to 0.10 inches. Trace amounts are recorded separately and do not become zero-rain claims.

View daily weather data +
NOAA San Francisco Downtown daily records for September 2026
Station datePrecipitation (inches)High (°F)Low (°F)
0.006961
0.007061
0.037260
0.006857
0.007156
0.006957
0.008157
0.008561
0.009465
0.007559
0.006658
0.006859
0.006658
0.007157
0.006657
0.006357
0.007059
0.006657
0.006656
0.006055
0.006156
0.006356
0.007556
0.007558
0.006757
0.006856
0.006355
0.006955
0.007454
0.007255

City data retrieved · Download NOAA daily records ↗

Regional fog and sky conditions.

Station: San Francisco International Airport (SFO). These counts describe the airport, not the featured neighborhood. Fair weather is the source’s sky category; it does not mean six hours of sunshine or a fog-free day.

SFO fog days
18days

Fog reported at the airport

SFO fair-weather days
8days

NWS fair-sky category, not measured sunshine hours

SFO partly cloudy days
20days

NWS partly cloudy category

SFO cloudy days
2days

NWS cloudy category

SFO period: to . Source issued ; retrieved . Read the archived NWS report ↗

Sources, definitions and limits +
  • Rainfall and temperature source: NOAA NCEI San Francisco Downtown, USW00023272 ↗, at 37.7705, −122.4269. These are city station readings, not measurements at an individual home. We sum the daily precipitation records and count days with at least 0.01 inches. The precipitation variable includes any liquid-equivalent frozen precipitation.
  • Daily values retain NOAA’s station observation dates. An observation day can end at a station’s reporting time; we do not relabel it as a midnight-to-midnight Pacific measurement. Trace precipitation is marked “Trace.” Missing or quality-flagged precipitation rejects a monthly update; incomplete temperatures remain unavailable.
  • Fog and sky source: National Weather Service CLMSFO, archived by Iowa Environmental Mesonet ↗. The source’s fog, fair, partly cloudy and cloudy counts are kept as reported. Fog can occur during part of a fair-weather day, so fog is not an additional mutually exclusive sky category. We do not convert fair days to measured sunshine hours or add them to fog counts.
  • These are free public weather records. Our summary and chart are independent of NOAA and Iowa State University. No affiliation or endorsement is implied. NOAA usage information ↗ · IEM usage information ↗.
  • Weather periods and source timestamps are separate from the rolling Redfin market window. Monthly updates retain the previous verified month if either source is delayed. These stations cannot establish a specific home’s sunlight, fog, moisture condition or investment return.

Sources, timing, and what to watch.

Redfin neighborhood metrics use rolling three-month windows. Adjacent periods overlap. Small samples and the mix of properties sold can move medians sharply. All home types is not a condo-only or multifamily investment series. The competition score uses its own stated window.

Redfin observation window
to
Redfin source retrieved
Source release date
Not supplied for this neighborhood snapshot
Report updated

Refresh policy: the day after Redfin’s monthly Housing Market Tracker release, once a newer neighborhood period is verified. Source delays retain the previous report. An unavailable release timestamp is left blank; the calendar is not evidence that a neighborhood has updated.

Initial trend comparisons use the reported year-over-year change to derive approximate prior-year endpoints, not a downloaded monthly history. Verified monthly snapshots accumulate over time. Source revisions can change a previously reported figure.

Data provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage. Company commentary is independent. No affiliation or endorsement is implied.

PUT THE NUMBERS TO WORK

A clearer view of your next move.

Buying, selling, or investing in Outer Richmond? Let’s run the numbers on the property you have in mind.

Set up a consultation ↗
LOOK A LITTLE CLOSER

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