SAN FRANCISCO REAL ESTATE COMPANYLet's have a conversation ↗
MARCH 2026 · MARKET UPDATE

Rincon Hill.
By the numbers.

What the market is doing. What it means for your next move.

Updated
Redfin data through · All home types

THE MARKET AT A GLANCE
Median sale price
$1,059,250

+17.7% year over year

Median price / sq ft
Not available

Year-over-year change unavailable

Median days on market
30 days

-31 days year over year

Sale to list price
97.3%

+1.2 points year over year

Redfin Rincon Hill · rolling three months ending March 2026. Rounded source values stay rounded. View source ↗

MARKET HEAT

Score unavailable

Redfin Compete Score™ measures competition, not expected investment returns.

The source does not supply a competition-score window. Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 11:14 AM PDT.

N/AOUT OF 100Higher means more competitive
OUR INTERPRETATION

San Francisco Real Estate Company Perspective

Our analytical view · Not a valuation or forecast

Local context checked . Market figures use the report period above. Local sources do not measure an amenity’s effect on prices or rents.

Underwrite the tower’s monthly bill before negotiating the price.

Local evidence: The verified Redfin Rincon Hill baseline is dated 2026-03-31. The snapshot reports 30 median days on market. The sale-to-list ratio is 97.3%. All Home Types figures cannot isolate a specific tower, unit line, HOA budget, or assessment.

Our view: For a condo here, we would compare same-building closed sales by floor, view direction, layout, and condition, then reconcile the total monthly cost. Read the reserve study, master insurance, operating budget, planned mechanical and elevator work, and any assessments. Investors should model net rent after dues, taxes, insurance, vacancy, management, and financing. A lower purchase price can still come with higher recurring costs; use the rent-versus-buy worksheet with the actual building’s figures.

Sources: Redfin neighborhood snapshot ↗

Measure the walk to Salesforce against the actual workweek.

Local evidence: Salesforce lists its worldwide headquarters at 415 Mission Street, in the nearby Transbay office district. The broader East Cut includes Rincon Hill and Transbay; these boundaries are not interchangeable.

Our view: That is a concrete employer connection to test from the building entrance, with the uphill return, crossings, and daily errands included. Visit the Folsom and Spear corridors at work hours and on a weekend. We would compare achieved long-term rents in similar towers before underwriting an employment-access premium. An office address supplies neither employee headcount nor evidence that a particular condo will lease faster.

Sources: Salesforce office locations ↗ · East Cut geography ↗

Value the bus and BART connections that operate today.

Local evidence: TJPA lists bus services at the Salesforce Transit Center, nearby BART stations on Market Street, and no parking at the center. The Portal is the project that will extend Caltrain to the Transit Center; that rail connection is a future improvement.

Our view: Test the whole trip from the unit, including elevator waits, the walk to the correct stop, transfers, and evening service. Compare a home without parking against the full cost of one with a usable garage space. We would keep any benefit from a future rail extension outside the base-case return, and check project status before putting it in a resale scenario. A transit-center name alone is insufficient evidence of a direct rail commute.

Sources: TJPA transit and parking FAQ ↗ · TJPA Transbay Program and The Portal ↗

Keep the view, garage, and public open space in separate columns.

Local evidence: The Rincon Hill plan calls for parking to be sold or rented separately from housing. The East Cut CBD identifies Guy Place Mini Park at 4 Guy Place; TJPA’s nearby Salesforce Park is a 5.4-acre rooftop public space. Neither park is a private building amenity.

Our view: Verify the unit’s actual parking rights and charges rather than assume a listing includes a deeded space. Compare unobstructed views from usable rooms and check relevant planning records before paying a premium. Walk to the public spaces separately from inspecting the building’s own amenities and dues. We would not add the cost of a tower’s private facilities to projected rent unless leasing comparables support it. The adopted plan provides context; the property documents establish what this buyer receives.

Sources: SF Planning Rincon Hill plan ↗ · East Cut open-space guide ↗ · TJPA Salesforce Park ↗

Let’s analyze your property ↗
A SECOND LENS

Closed sales and modeled values tell different stories.

Zillow Rincon Hill typical home value (ZHVI)
$1,109,279

+12.2% year over year

Zillow data through September 2026. Its modeled value index differs from a median of homes that sold. Neighborhood boundaries, property coverage, and methods also differ. We do not average the two sources or treat their difference as a discount.

Retrieved Oct 23, 2026, 11:14 AM PDT · Zillow source ↗

Orient by the hill, the towers, and the wider East Cut.

Rincon Hill sits within a broader downtown neighborhood often called the East Cut. These names cover different areas. Start with Guy Place Mini Park, then connect the residential streets to Folsom and Spear. Prospect at the Infinity Towers provides a dining stop; The Fly Trap is farther west along Folsom. The map below is an orientation view, separate from Redfin’s data boundary.

The tower is part of the purchase.

Our buying lens starts with comparable homes in the same building: unit line, floor height, view direction, light, and floor plan can matter more than a neighborhood median. Review reserves, insurance, elevator and mechanical work, management costs, and any separate parking or storage charge. Visit the actual entrance and the rooms at different times of day before assigning a view or convenience premium.

Connect downtown access to your own routine.

Salesforce lists its headquarters at 415 Mission Street, and the nearby Salesforce Transit Center offers bus connections with BART stations on Market Street. Test the full door-to-destination trip from the home. For an investment, verify achieved rents and building leasing restrictions, then model net income after HOA dues and all other ownership costs. Employer proximity alone does not establish a rent premium.

AROUND THE NEIGHBORHOOD

Get a feel for Rincon Hill.

Use the map to explore the streets, then follow the official links for parks, dining, and drinks in and around the neighborhood.

Orientation map · Approximate area, not a market-data boundary.Open a larger map ↗Interactive map by Google Maps

Local links checked . Check the linked businesses and park pages for current details.

WEATHER & EVERYDAY LIVING

San Francisco weather context.

Put Rincon Hill visits in context with city rainfall and regional sky conditions. Check the actual home in morning and afternoon light.

Rainfall and temperatures come from NOAA’s San Francisco Downtown station. Fog and sky conditions come from SFO and are regional context only. Neither station measures the featured neighborhood’s block-by-block microclimate; airport fog days are not neighborhood fog days.

Complete calendar month: to . Retrieved . Updated .

City rainfall and temperature.

San Francisco Downtown station ↗ · City station near Mission Dolores.

SF Downtown precipitation
0.03inches

NOAA station USW00023272

SF Downtown wet days
1day

At least 0.01 inches of precipitation

Average daily high 70.1°F · Average daily low 57.5°F

City precipitation through the month Inches per station observation day, San Francisco Downtown

Chart scale: 0 to 0.10 inches. Trace amounts are recorded separately and do not become zero-rain claims.

View daily weather data +
NOAA San Francisco Downtown daily records for September 2026
Station datePrecipitation (inches)High (°F)Low (°F)
0.006961
0.007061
0.037260
0.006857
0.007156
0.006957
0.008157
0.008561
0.009465
0.007559
0.006658
0.006859
0.006658
0.007157
0.006657
0.006357
0.007059
0.006657
0.006656
0.006055
0.006156
0.006356
0.007556
0.007558
0.006757
0.006856
0.006355
0.006955
0.007454
0.007255

City data retrieved · Download NOAA daily records ↗

Regional fog and sky conditions.

Station: San Francisco International Airport (SFO). These counts describe the airport, not the featured neighborhood. Fair weather is the source’s sky category; it does not mean six hours of sunshine or a fog-free day.

SFO fog days
18days

Fog reported at the airport

SFO fair-weather days
8days

NWS fair-sky category, not measured sunshine hours

SFO partly cloudy days
20days

NWS partly cloudy category

SFO cloudy days
2days

NWS cloudy category

SFO period: to . Source issued ; retrieved . Read the archived NWS report ↗

Sources, definitions and limits +
  • Rainfall and temperature source: NOAA NCEI San Francisco Downtown, USW00023272 ↗, at 37.7705, −122.4269. These are city station readings, not measurements at an individual home. We sum the daily precipitation records and count days with at least 0.01 inches. The precipitation variable includes any liquid-equivalent frozen precipitation.
  • Daily values retain NOAA’s station observation dates. An observation day can end at a station’s reporting time; we do not relabel it as a midnight-to-midnight Pacific measurement. Trace precipitation is marked “Trace.” Missing or quality-flagged precipitation rejects a monthly update; incomplete temperatures remain unavailable.
  • Fog and sky source: National Weather Service CLMSFO, archived by Iowa Environmental Mesonet ↗. The source’s fog, fair, partly cloudy and cloudy counts are kept as reported. Fog can occur during part of a fair-weather day, so fog is not an additional mutually exclusive sky category. We do not convert fair days to measured sunshine hours or add them to fog counts.
  • These are free public weather records. Our summary and chart are independent of NOAA and Iowa State University. No affiliation or endorsement is implied. NOAA usage information ↗ · IEM usage information ↗.
  • Weather periods and source timestamps are separate from the rolling Redfin market window. Monthly updates retain the previous verified month if either source is delayed. These stations cannot establish a specific home’s sunlight, fog, moisture condition or investment return.

Sources, timing, and what to watch.

Redfin neighborhood metrics use rolling three-month windows. Adjacent periods overlap. Small samples and the mix of properties sold can move medians sharply. All home types is not a condo-only or multifamily investment series. The competition score uses its own stated window.

Redfin observation window
to
Redfin source retrieved
Source release date
Not supplied for this neighborhood snapshot
Report updated

Refresh policy: the day after Redfin’s monthly Housing Market Tracker release, once a newer neighborhood period is verified. Source delays retain the previous report. An unavailable release timestamp is left blank; the calendar is not evidence that a neighborhood has updated.

Initial trend comparisons use the reported year-over-year change to derive approximate prior-year endpoints, not a downloaded monthly history. Verified monthly snapshots accumulate over time. Source revisions can change a previously reported figure.

Data provided by Redfin, a national real estate brokerage. Company commentary is independent. No affiliation or endorsement is implied.

PUT THE NUMBERS TO WORK

A clearer view of your next move.

Buying, selling, or investing in Rincon Hill? Let’s run the numbers on the property you have in mind.

Set up a consultation ↗
LOOK A LITTLE CLOSER

Keep exploring San Francisco.

More neighborhood guides

Rincon Hill market report

Rincon Hill market update ↗

Other market reports

Buying and investing field notes

Browse all articles and collections ↗